论文
International Journal of Digital Earth
PublisherJournal
中文标题
面向公里尺度逐小时湿热压力指数的物理信息时空降尺度模型
English Title
A physics-informed spatiotemporal downscaling model for kilometer-scale hourly humid heat stress indices
Xilin Wu Yong Ge Jun Wang Mengxiao Liu Bo Li a State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, People's Republic of China b College of Resources and Environment, University of Academy of Sciences, Beijing, People's Republic of China c Key Laboratory of Poyang Lake Wetland and Watershed Research Ministry of Education, Jiangxi Normal University, Nanchang, People's Republic of China d Key Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, People's Republic of China e State Key Laboratory of Environmental Criteria and Risk Assessment, Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing, People's Republic of China f Department of Statistics and Data Science, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, USA
发布时间
2026/9/17 15:25:51
来源类型
journal
语言
en
摘要

High-resolution humid heat stress indices, characterizing the interactive physiological effects of temperature and humidity, are vital for precision heat-health assessment and climate adaptation. However, existing coarse-resolution datasets smooth fine-scale spatial heterogeneity and may therefore underestimated localized heat extremes. Statistical downscaling can enhance spatial resolution, but its reliance on empirical relationships provides limited constraints on nonlinear land-atmosphere interactions, potentially introducing physically inconsistent biases. Here, we develop a physics-informed spatiotemporal (PIST) downscaling model that integrate surface energy balance and horizontal advection into a statistical framework. By fusing multisource data, our model reconstructs for humid heat stress indices at hourly and 1-km resolution. Applied to the Yangtze River Delta during the warm season (May–October) of 2020, the model performs consistently well across the four indices, with root mean square errors (RMSEs) ranging from 2.24 to 3.98 °C and R2 values exceeding 0.88. Compared with conventional statistical downscaling, PIST reduces RMSE by 53–62%. The incorporation of physical constraints also improves the representation of extreme heat, increasing upper-tail dependence from 0.4 to above 0.8 and reducing systematic biases over urban areas. Overall, PIST exemplifies Digital Earth methodology by transforming geospatial observations into high-resolution, decision-relevant climate information, supporting heat health assessment and urban climate adaptation.

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来源International Journal of Digital Earth
类型论文
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